Senin, 28 Februari 2022

Fund manager Abrdn frustrated in effort to sell Rosneft stake - Sky News

One of Britain's biggest fund managers has been left unable to sell its shareholding in the Russian state oil giant backed by BP amid restrictions on foreign share trades on Moscow's stock exchange.

Sky News has learnt that abrdn, the FTSE-100 asset manager, is keen to offload its multimillion-pound stake in Rosneft but has been prevented from doing so.

City sources said that abrdn had decided to sell its Rosneft shares immediately after the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

Although modest in size at just £5m, the majority of which is held passively in abrdn funds, the hiatus underlines how the City is being impacted by the fallout from the crisis.

Abrdn publicly supported BP's decision, announced on Sunday, to sell its stake in Rosneft, which had been valued at about $14bn (£10.4bn) but is likely to be sold for far less than that.

"We are strongly supportive of the board's decision and applaud them for taking swift action following the events of the last week," Andrew Millington, head of UK equities at abrdn, said.

"While there may be a significant financial cost to BP in exiting Rosneft it is unquestionably the right thing to do".

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BP's board's decision to sell its near-20% stake in Rosneft marks the end of a decade-long direct relationship, although questions remain about how it will be able to offload the shares.

The oil giant's announcement came within days of Kwasi Kwarteng, the business secretary, telling BP chief executive Bernard Looney that the government was concerned about its Russian interests.

Its exit from Rosneft could lead to a non-cash writedown of as much as $25bn (£18.6bn).

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2022-02-28 13:41:12Z
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Norway’s Equinor pulls out of ‘untenable’ Russian investment - Financial Times

Norwegian oil and gas producer Equinor is exiting its joint ventures in Russia and will stop new investments there, just a day after BP said it was severing ties with the country following the invasion of Ukraine.

Equinor is two-thirds owned by the Norwegian government and has a strategic partnership with Russian state oil group Rosneft that includes projects throughout Siberia.

Equinor said it expected to take impairments related to the ventures. The group’s move came as part of a concerted effort by western governments to isolate Russia’s economy. Norway’s government on Sunday ordered its $1.3tn oil fund, the world’s largest sovereign wealth fund, to ditch its $3bn in Russian investments.

BP on Sunday said it was divesting its near 20 per cent stake in Rosneft, the Russian oil company that took over most of the business of rival group Yukos after a crackdown by President Vladimir Putin.

Anders Opedal, Equinor’s chief executive, said on Monday morning: “In the current situation, we regard our position as untenable. We will now stop new investments into our Russian business, and we will start the process of exiting our joint ventures in a manner that is consistent with our values.”

He added that Equinor was “deeply troubled” by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and would “contribute funding to the humanitarian effort in the region”.

Equinor, which has been in Russia for more than 30 years, increased its partnership with Rosneft in 2020, paying $550mn to gain a 49 per cent stake in a dozen exploration and production licences in eastern Siberia. Some analysts decried the move at the time, for expanding in Russia after its 2014 annexation of Crimea and for investing in fields with high carbon emissions.

Equinor’s current production in Russia is modest at just 25,000 barrels of oil equivalent a day versus its group total of about 2mn barrels a day. It has 70 employees in Russia.

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2022-02-28 08:13:13Z
1313987389

Minggu, 27 Februari 2022

BP to exit stake in Russian state oil company Rosneft - Financial Times

BP is seeking to divest the near 20 per cent stake in Russian state-oil company Rosneft it has held since 2013 in the starkest sign yet of the corporate backlash against Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine.

The UK-listed oil group said in a statement on Sunday that it would no longer report reserves, production or profits from Rosneft, and its chief executive, Bernard Looney, would resign from the Rosneft board “with immediate effect”.

BP did not specify how and when it might divest the Rosneft stake. It could write off the shareholding, sell it back to Rosneft or find another buyer. Analysts have speculated that a state-backed Chinese or Middle Eastern group might be interested in the shareholding, but it is thought that BP could struggle to find a bidder. The Qatar Investment Authority is already a major Rosneft shareholder.

BP said the changes in the accounting treatment of the Rosneft stake would lead to two “material non-cash” charges in its first-quarter results that could amount to as much as $25bn: an $11bn charge related to foreign exchange losses, and the difference at that time between the “fair value” and the “carrying value” of the stake, which is currently $14bn.

The other BP-nominated director, Bob Dudley, BP’s former chief executive, will also step down from Rosneft’s board, the oil major said.

Helge Lund, BP’s chair, described Russia’s invasion of Ukraine as an “act of aggression which is having tragic consequences across the region”.

He said BP had operated in Russia for more than 30 years, “working with brilliant Russian colleagues”.

“However, this military action represents a fundamental change,” he added. The board had concluded that the company’s involvement with Rosneft “simply cannot continue”, Lund added.

BP’s move, which came as Norway’s sovereign wealth fund said it was divesting of all of its Russian assets, will increase pressure on other oil and gas majors and commodity traders with investments in Russia, such as Shell, TotalEnergies, ExxonMobil, Trafigura and Vitol.

BP has previously been criticised for its 19.75 per cent stake in Rosneft, which has been under US and EU sanctions since Russia annexed Crimea in 2014. But the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which has resulted in sweeping sanctions against Putin’s regime, has increased scrutiny of the partnership.

One UK asset manager with a large shareholding in BP described the move to offload the stake as a “good decision” and “inevitable”.

BP said it would also exit three other joint ventures with Rosneft, potentially bringing an end to a lucrative, if often contentious, 30-year relationship between BP and Russia. BP’s former joint venture with a consortium of oligarchs, TNK-BP, became so fraught in the 2000s that in 2008 Dudley, who then headed that business, was forced to flee the country.

BP sold its 50 per cent share in TNK-BP to Rosneft in 2013, for $12.5bn in cash and a fifth of the state-controlled oil company.

The Rosneft stake has been similarly profitable. Last year BP reported profits of more than $2.4bn from the shareholding and collected $640mn in dividends.

But as tanks, potentially fuelled with diesel from Rosneft — a main supplier to the Russian military — poured into Ukraine, the calculus for the UK oil major changed.

Looney said he had been “deeply shocked and saddened” by the offensive, which had “caused us to fundamentally rethink BP’s position with Rosneft”.

In a statement on Russia’s state-owned news agency RIA Novosti, Rosneft said BP’s decision “destroys a successful 30-year co-operation” and thanked the UK company for “decades of joint work”.

BP’s announcement came just days after Looney was summoned to a meeting with Kwasi Kwarteng, the UK business secretary, to discuss the company’s involvement in Russia.

Kwarteng said on Sunday: “I welcome BP’s decision to exit its shareholding in Rosneft oil company. Russia’s unprovoked invasion of Ukraine must be a wake-up call for British businesses with commercial interests in Putin’s Russia.”

Additional reporting Neil Hume and Jim Pickard in London

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2022-02-27 19:51:13Z
1313987389

BP blasted over £27bn bonanza from Russia - This is Money

BP has benefited from a staggering £27billion cash haul from its operations in Russia over two decades, the Mail on Sunday can reveal. 

The FTSE 100 oil giant's ventures in the former Soviet Union have been highly profitable, but the firm and its boss Bernard Looney now face huge pressure to sever those ties, which date back 20 years. 

Chris Bryant, an influential MP who sits on the Foreign Affairs Committee, accused BP of being 'complicit' in the invasion of Ukraine. 

'The tanks that are rolling into Ukraine are paid for by the profits of oil and gas companies in Russia – including BP,' said Bryant, Labour MP for Rhondda. 

Under pressure: BP boss Bernard Looney is facing calls to quit the board of Rosneft

The FTSE 100 firm's large-scale involvement in Russia took off in 2003, when it set up a joint venture, TNK-BP, with four billionaire oligarchs. 

When that partnership was dismantled in 2013, BP received $12billion in cash and acquired a near-20 per cent stake in Kremlin-backed oil company Rosneft, which is one of Russia's largest producers of crude oil and a major supplier of its military. 

The company still has that holding in Rosneft. Looney sits on the board alongside former BP chief Bob Dudley and chairman Igor Sechin, who is a close ally of President Putin.

Business secretary Kwasi Kwarteng summoned Looney for a crisis meeting on Friday, leaving him 'with no doubt' about the strength of concern in government over its business interests in Russia. MPs and campaigners want Looney to resign from the board of Rosneft. 

But this presents him with thorny moral, financial and practical dilemmas. 

Ending BP's relationship with Rosneft would burnish his ethical credentials, which have already been under attack from environmental activists. 

But it would also choke off a valuable stream of income for the company. In addition, there is the pragmatic issue of finding a buyer for what has become a toxic investment. 

Financially, BP's foray into Russia has been one of the most rewarding in its 113 year history, yielding it £27billion in cash payments, after an $8billion investment. 

The company received $19billion (£14.25billion) in dividends from TNK along with $12billion (£9billion) in cash from Rosneft when the joint venture was sold. 

On top of that, a total of $5billion (£3.75billion) of dividends have flowed into its coffers from Rosneft over its nine years of owning a hunky stake. 

Rosneft accounted for around $2.4billion (£1.8billion) of BP's profits last year, a fifth of the $12.8billion total. Putin's full-scale invasion of Ukraine last week has unleashed a barrage of economic sanctions from the West. 

When quizzed on BP's Russia links earlier this month, Looney said BP sought to 'avoid the politics', but vowed that his firm would comply with Ukraine-related sanctions. 

The MoS reported a fortnight ago that BP was expected to be handed another $1billion dividend from its stake in Rosneft. 

Tory MP Tom Tugendhat, who chairs the Foreign Affairs Committee, said all firms 'connected to funding Putin's war machine should think very hard given that they are in scope of UK sanctions and those of our allies'. 

Bill Browder, chief executive of Hermitage Capital and head of the Global Magnitsky Justice Campaign – which seeks to impose visa bans and asset freezes on human rights abusers and corrupt officials – also questioned Looney's position on the Rosneft board. 

'It's unseemly that a major British company CEO would be sitting in the same room as some of these now war criminals,' he said. 

However, Browder said exiting the stake altogether could be problematic. He compared BP's stake in Rosneft to 'nuclear waste'. He said: 'No one is going to buy it. It's worthless at the moment.' 

Liberal Democrat peer Lord Teverson has warned that BP could find itself on 'the wrong side of history' due to events in Ukraine. 

In a meeting between BP and Putin in 2019, former CEO Bob Dudley, who also sits on Rosneft's board, said it was a 'proud claim' that BP accounted for more than half of the UK's capital flows to Russia. 

BP said on Friday: 'We are closely watching the concerning developments in Ukraine and Russia. We are doing all we can to monitor the fast-changing situation. 

'Our priority is the safety and security of our people. We are accounting for all our team.' 

The company reiterated that it would 'of course, comply with all relevant sanctions'. 

The invasion of Ukraine has raised questions about peers Lord Goldsmith and Lord Barker, both of whom have strong links with Russia and are taking leaves of absence from the House of Lords. 

By taking leave, peers are not required to disclose how much they are paid by foreign clients, while keeping their honorary titles.

Goldsmith, who served as Tony Blair's Attorney General until 2007, has represented the Russian Federation as a partner at law firm Debevoise & Plimpton. Barker runs London-listed aluminium producer En+, whose biggest shareholder is sanctioned oligarch Oleg Deripaska. 

Conservative MP Bob Seely said: 'I think it is wrong for members of the House of Lords to be able to take leave of absence so they do not have to give information out about their clients.

'When those clients are the Russian state or its proxies, it is even more indefensible. This is yet more evidence that we need a Foreign Lobbying Act.' 

Prime Minister Boris Johnson told the House of Commons on Thursday that Europe must seek to end its 'collective dependence on Russian oil and gas' which has served to 'empower Putin for too long'. 

Among further sanctions proposed by Johnson is a ban on Russia being able to access the SWIFT network, a payment system that allows banks, companies and individuals to make fast money transfers overseas. 

However, a total ban has been met with resistance from other European countries. 

Last week, senior City figures met with Economic Secretary to the Treasury John Glen and the Prime Minister. 

An attendee told The Mail on Sunday that one of the options discussed was to block certain Russian companies and individuals from using the Swift network – rather than enforcing an all-out ban. 

The source said: 'That could be a blunt instrument and you could just find the Russians working their way around that if you have a blanket ban. 

'So what you might want to do is target individual institutions and individuals. The risk is the Russians pull out of Swift completely and create their own payments system. 

'So rather than shut out the Russians completely, you focus it on individual institutions, which appears to be the route the Government is taking.' 

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2022-02-27 09:25:43Z
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Sabtu, 26 Februari 2022

British Airways plans to operate 'vast majority' of flights from Heathrow after raft of short-haul cancellations - Sky News

British Airways was forced to cancel short-haul flights from Heathrow this morning following "technical issues".

The airline said it was "planning to operate the vast majority of flights for the rest of the day", having had to cancel all short-haul flights from Britain's biggest airport until midday.

"We are extremely sorry that due to the continuing technical issues we are facing we have regrettably had to cancel a significant number of short-haul flights from Heathrow today," said a statement.

Earlier, BA said that customers due to travel today needed to check their flight status on ba.com before coming to the airport, as "we anticipate further disruption during the day".

It said its long-haul services at Heathrow and all flights at Gatwick and London City Airport were due to operate as planned, "but customers may experience some delays".

The airline said the problem was related to a hardware issue and was not because of a cyber attack.

The company added its website was working and customers could check in online and at the airport.

More on British Airways

"We are offering customers on cancelled services options including a full refund, and all customers booked to travel on short-haul services from Heathrow today can opt to rebook to a later date for free if they choose," a statement added.

"We will be contacting customers proactively."

On Friday evening, British Airways suffered a major outage, which caused flights to be cancelled.

The airline's website and app were down for hours, leaving customers unable to check in online or book flights.

'BA running on paper'

Ed Hall, 54, a television executive from Woodstock, Oxfordshire, was stranded on a plane for over an hour after touching down at Heathrow Terminal 5 on Friday because the crew could not access any IT systems to get a stand where passengers could disembark.

He said there were issues even before his BA 399 flight took off from Brussels.

Mr Hall said: "We couldn't take off as the pilot's system that calculates weight, loads and distribution went offline and we had to go back to the gate from the runway to get a (manual) copy sent from London.

"BA is running on paper tonight."

Read more: UK flights banned from Russia in retaliation after British sanctions slapped on Aeroflot
British Airways apologises to passengers who had to wait hours for luggage after Storm Eunice

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2022-02-26 17:26:15Z
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Convenience store giant McColl's scrambles to stave off collapse - Sky News

McColl's Retail Group, one of Britain's biggest convenience store chains, is racing to secure new funding to stave off a collapse that could put thousands of jobs at risk.

Sky News has learnt that McColl's is working with advisers on attempts to find a buyer or third parties willing to inject fresh capital into the business.

City sources said this weekend that McColl's had a matter of weeks to secure new funding, with millions of pounds of its bank debt being sold to hedge funds and few obvious options to guarantee its future.

EG Group, the petrol stations giant controlled by Mohsin and Zuber Issa and the private equity firm TDR Capital, is said to have held discussions about making an offer for McColl's but decided against doing so earlier this week, according to people close to the process.

The company, which is listed on the London Stock Exchange, employs about 16,000 people, or roughly 6000 on a full-time equivalent basis.

It raised £30m from shareholders in a cash call just six months ago.

McColl's trades from approximately 1,100 convenience stores and newsagents across Britain, with about 200 of them now trading under the Morrisons Daily format through a partnership with the supermarket giant.

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Wm Morrison, which agreed to a £7bn sale to the private equity firm Clayton Dubilier & Rice last year, is understood to be monitoring McColl's situation closely with a view to possibly acquiring hundreds of its stores out of insolvency.

It is, however, not thought to be in active discussions about a takeover bid for the company as a whole.

In November, McColl's announced that it would expand the number of Morrisons Daily conversions from 350 to 450 within a year.

If McColl's fails to secure new funding and is forced into administration, it would be the largest insolvency in the UK retail sector by the size of the workforce since the collapse of Edinburgh Woollen Mill Group in 2020.

Since then, both Debenhams, which employed about 12,000 people, and Sir Philip Green's Arcadia Group, which had a workforce numbering roughly 13,000, have also gone bust, becoming casualties of changing retail shopping habits and the pandemic.

McColl's has endured torrid trading conditions and now has a market capitalisation of less than £20m.

The company carries debts of almost £170m, with a lending syndicate that includes Barclays, HSBC, NatWest Group and Santander UK.

In recent weeks, however, some of its banks have been trading the debt, with the hedge fund Silver Point understood to be among those which have bought into it.

Retail industry sources said that McColl's shares were now effectively "worthless" and that a pre-pack administration or other forms of insolvency increasingly looked like the most likely outcome.

People close to the company expressed hope this weekend that a solvent solution could yet be found.

McColl's lenders are being advised by PricewaterhouseCoopers, while Stephens Europe, a corporate finance firm, is leading the search for additional capital.

The company has told investors that it will publish its full-year results in late March, and an extension of its timetable for securing new funding is possible if its lenders support such a move.

Jonathan Miller, McColl's chief executive, said in December that the financial year had "undoubtedly been a tough year for the business, starting with the impact of COVID-19 restrictions and ending with the widely reported and ongoing supply chain challenges".

"Although we have been able to partly mitigate these external factors, they have still had a significant impact on underlying trading," he added.

Mr Miller is understood to have invested £3m personally in the fundraising last summer in a bid to convince other shareholders to support the company.

Shares in McColl's closed on Friday at 7p, having slumped by nearly 70% over the last year.

A spokesman for the company declined to comment.

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2022-02-26 11:55:31Z
CBMiY2h0dHBzOi8vbmV3cy5za3kuY29tL3N0b3J5L2NvbnZlbmllbmNlLXN0b3JlLWdpYW50LW1jY29sbHMtc2NyYW1ibGVzLXRvLXN0YXZlLW9mZi1jb2xsYXBzZS0xMjU1MTk5NdIBZ2h0dHBzOi8vbmV3cy5za3kuY29tL3N0b3J5L2FtcC9jb252ZW5pZW5jZS1zdG9yZS1naWFudC1tY2NvbGxzLXNjcmFtYmxlcy10by1zdGF2ZS1vZmYtY29sbGFwc2UtMTI1NTE5OTU

British Airways cancels all short-haul flights from Heathrow until midday due to ongoing 'technical issues' - Sky News

British Airways has said all of its short-haul flights from Heathrow are cancelled until midday today following ongoing "technical issues".

The airline said customers due to travel later today should check their flight status on ba.com before coming to the airport as "we anticipate further disruption during the day".

It said its long-haul services at Heathrow and all flights at Gatwick and London City Airport are due to operate as planned, "but customers may experience some delays".

The airline said the problem is related to a hardware issue and is not because of a cyber attack.

The company added its website was working and customers can check-in online and at the airport.

"We are offering customers on cancelled services options including a full refund and all customers booked to travel on short-haul services from Heathrow today can opt to rebook to a later date for free if they choose. We will be contacting customers proactively."

On Friday evening, British Airways suffered a major outage, which caused flights to be cancelled.

More on British Airways

The airline's website and app were down for hours leaving customers unable to check-in online or book flights.

'BA running on paper'

Ed Hall, 54, a television executive from Woodstock, Oxfordshire, was stranded on a plane for over an hour after touching down at Heathrow Terminal 5 on Friday because the crew could not access any IT systems to get a stand where passengers could disembark.

He said there were issues even before his BA 399 flight took off from Brussels.

Mr Hall said: "We couldn't take off as the pilot's system that calculates weight, loads and distribution went offline and we had to go back to the gate from the runway to get a (manual) copy sent from London.

"BA is running on paper tonight."

Read more: UK flights banned from Russia in retaliation after British sanctions slapped on Aeroflot
British Airways apologises to passengers who had to wait hours for luggage after Storm Eunice

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2022-02-26 09:11:15Z
1315686331

Jumat, 25 Februari 2022

Ukraine invasion sparks turmoil on global markets | Business - The Times

The FTSE 100 endured its worst day since the first Covid-19 lockdown yesterday as European stock markets tumbled and the price of oil rose above $105 a barrel for the first time in nearly eight years after Russia invaded Ukraine.

London’s premier share index closed down 291.17 points, or 3.9 per cent, at 7,207.01, its worst day in percentage terms since falling by 4 per cent on June 11, 2020, when markets were gripped by concerns about a new wave of Covid cases.

The slide takes the FTSE 100 back below where it was in February 2020, days before the coronavirus triggered a global sell-off. However, the index is still nearly 45 per cent above the pandemic low it reached in March 2020.

After following

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2022-02-25 00:01:00Z
1299031588

Ukraine invasion: Household energy bills set to hit £3000 a year - The Times

Petrol prices will rise above £1.60 a litre as the turmoil from the war in Ukraine spreads, the government estimates, with experts forecasting that household energy bills will reach £3,000 a year.

Russia’s invasion pushed the price of Brent crude, the global benchmark, to $105 a barrel, its highest level since 2014. Government insiders expect that western sanctions on Russia will push up prices further, amplifying the rise in the cost of living in Britain.

In the Commons Boris Johnson acknowledged that the invasion would have “global economic consequences”. “The government will do everything possible to safeguard our own people from the repercussions for the cost of living,” he said.

Petrol prices in the UK yesterday reached on average 149.5p a litre, although motorists in

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2022-02-25 00:01:00Z
1278748372

Kamis, 24 Februari 2022

Oil hits new high and shares sink as Russia invades - BBC News - BBC News

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2022-02-24 18:55:48Z
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Oil smashes through $100 barrier in safe haven rush as Putin pulls trigger on Ukraine - Sky News

The heightened invasion of Ukraine by Russia has sparked a rush for safe haven assets and sent the cost of Brent crude oil above $100 a barrel for the first time since September 2014.

Fears of a wider conflict, additional sanctions and higher inflation arising from president Putin's order to attack prompted a rush of activity on global markets, first felt in Asia where stock markets were widely down by 3%.

Germany's DAX and the CAC in Paris were 3.5% lower at the open, while the commodity-heavy FTSE 100 in London started the day 2.6% down - partly shielded from the worst as the price of oil, gas and things such as metals shoot up.

Follow the latest updates on the Russian attack on Ukraine here

Financial services and stocks linked to consumer spending, such as retailers, felt some of the worst pain on London's blue chip index initially, with only Shell and precious metal mining firm Fresnillo seeing gains.

Evraz, another miner, was the biggest faller - down by 18% - as it has major operations in Russia.

Russia's own stock market took a hammering, with values on both main indexes slumping by around 30% when a suspension on trading in Moscow was temporarily lifted.

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A collapse in the value of the rouble versus the US dollar - to a record low - meant the dollar-linked RTS index had lost more than 34%.

Brent crude, the international oil benchmark, rose by more than $4 a barrel on reports of the first explosions in Ukraine.

It continued to climb to almost $103 as the extent of the invasion became clearer, signalling additional price pressures for a global economy already battling a COVID-linked surge in inflation.

UK natural gas contracts for March delivery were also 20% higher.

Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst at Swissquote, said markets had clearly entered "panic" mode.

"In commodities, the European natural gas futures are already up 10%... US (WTI) crude jumped past the $98 mark.

"Gold flirts with the $1950 per ounce and the bulls are already to target a further advance toward the $2000 threshold.

"Corn futures are up more than 4%, wheat futures are up more than 5%, as Russia is the world's largest grain wheat exporter.

"Oat futures, soybean futures, silver, platinum, palladium, all move higher this morning expect for sugar, cotton, orange juice and live cattle."

Cryptocurrency was battered too - with Bitcoin's sensitivity evident through a 6% slide to $35,000.

Chris Weston, head of research at foreign exchange brokerage Pepperstone, said of the latest developments: "The market was always trying to judge if (Russia) would stop at Donbas, and it looks pretty clear that they are moving toward Kyiv, which was always one of the worst case scenarios.

"There are no buyers here for risk, and there are a lot of sellers out there, so this market is getting hit very hard."

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2022-02-24 08:15:00Z
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Rabu, 23 Februari 2022

Fuel price hits ANOTHER new record because of Ukraine crisis - Daily Mail

Fuel price hits ANOTHER new record because of Ukraine crisis: Conflict sends petrol soaring to 149.3p a litre and diesel to 152.6p amid warnings it could reach as high as 170p

  • Oil and gas prices surged in wake of Putin's decision to send forces into Ukraine 
  • RAC warned drivers to expect petrol prices to hit 150p per litre in coming days
  • Estimates that a full-scale war could push them even higher to 170p a litre   

Fuel prices have reached yet another record because of the Ukraine crisis - with petrol soaring to 149.3p a litre and diesel to 152.6p. 

The RAC - which released the figures for yesterday - warned drivers to expect petrol to hit the 'grim milestone' of 150p per litre in the coming days as retailers pass on rising wholesale costs.

The price of Brent crude oil hit a seven-year high of $99 yesterday due to concerns over the reliability of supplies after Russian troops entered eastern Ukraine.

This has fallen slightly to $96, but analysts said crude oil prices could rise to $120 a barrel if supplies are restricted, which could mean petrol prices would rise to more than 160p per litre. 

Experts even said oil could rise to $140 if Russia launches a full-scale war, which the RAC estimates would increase the petrol price to 170p a litre.

 

A senior Bank of England official fears 'moderate' interest rates may be required in order to bring prices back under control, leading to higher mortgage costs. 

Oil and gas prices surged yesterday in the wake of Vladimir Putin's decision to order Russian forces into eastern Ukraine – with a close ally of the president warning that retaliatory sanctions would see gas prices more than double in Europe. 

UK gas prices climbed 9pc after Germany halted the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline amid the global crackdown on Russia.

While Britain is less reliant on Russia for gas than continental Europe, the knock-on effect on the global wholesale market will still drive up prices.

The latest surge means prices are currently four times the long-term average, with further rises expected, bringing another increase on the household energy bills cap in October.

Ofgem has already announced a 54pc rise to £1,971 from April.

The surge in oil prices, which could reach as high as $140 a barrel, analysts fear, could cause petrol to rise to 170p a litre, The Telegraph reported.

Meanwhile Bank of England Deputy Governor Sir Dave Ramsden fears interest rates may need to rise quickly to counter the energy shortage.

He said: 'We did not foresee the recent rise in energy prices, and as we meet today the crisis in Ukraine is intensifying.

'Uncertainty makes it particularly difficult to make predictions about where monetary policy might be headed in the medium term. In the near term, some further tightening seems likely to be needed, to prevent current high inflation becoming embedded.'  

Boris Johnson told MPs the UK had to brace itself for potential ¿blowback¿ from Moscow over its show of solidarity with the regime in Kiev

Boris Johnson told MPs the UK had to brace itself for potential 'blowback' from Moscow over its show of solidarity with the regime in Kiev

Meanwhile, Boris Johnson also told MPs the UK had to brace itself for potential 'blowback' from Moscow over our show of solidarity with the regime in Kiev. 

Speaking in the Commons, the Prime Minister said Putin's decision to send Russian troops into eastern Ukraine showed he was in 'an illogical and irrational frame of mind'.

He told MPs: 'One of the things we will have to consider in the weeks ahead, as we continue to lead the world in our support for Ukraine, is the blowback for this country. We must be absolutely frank that there will be cyber attacks. We must understand that and be prepared for it.'

Security sources are particularly concerned about the threat posed to ageing computer systems in the NHS and local authorities.

Oil and gas prices surged in the wake of Vladimir Putin¿s decision to order Russian forces into eastern Ukraine

Oil and gas prices surged in the wake of Vladimir Putin's decision to order Russian forces into eastern Ukraine

One said: 'Russia has some of the most advanced cyber capabilities so it is a serious concern. It's also possible the Kremlin could licence some of the cyber crime groups it shelters to take action directly. Even if the UK is not directly targeted by Moscow there could be serious consequences here.

'The trouble is that once this stuff is in the system it can spill out all over the place, especially where you have organisations running old systems.' 

Mr Johnson also acknowledged that energy prices would be pushed to new levels as a result of the crisis. Former minister Robert Halfon called for financial support to help families cope with the reality that 'the war is likely to increase the cost of living for ordinary folk across the country'.

Mr Johnson replied: 'He is quite right that one of the risks of Putin's venture is that there could be a spike in gas prices, in oil prices...

'The Government will do everything we can to mitigate it and help the people in this country but it's one of the reasons why the whole of Western Europe has got to end their dependence on Russian oil and gas.'

Former Russian president Dimitry Medvedev, a close ally of Putin, warned that retaliatory sanctions would see gas prices more than double in Europe

Former Russian president Dimitry Medvedev, a close ally of Putin, warned that retaliatory sanctions would see gas prices more than double in Europe

Life on the home front: How Ukraine invasion could send cost of petrol to 170p a litre, push up energy bills by ANOTHER £700 and raise price of weekly shop 

By Mark Duell for MailOnline and Vanessa Allen and Francesca Washtell for the Daily Mail 

Britons have been told to prepare for soaring fuel prices and rising food bills amid the crisis in eastern Europe.

Following Vladimir Putin's decision to order Russian forces into eastern Ukraine, European gas prices jumped by 13 per cent and Brent crude oil closed at almost $100 a barrel which was a seven-year high.

While the UK is not as dependent as other European countries on Russian gas, Britain will still feel the effect of a rise in global prices, which could lead to a further £700 hike in the price cap this October.

The RAC said petrol prices were set to break through the £1.50 per litre barrier in the coming days, while UK food prices could rise if war breaks out and causes significant disruption to ships in the Black Sea.

Here is what could happen to the cost of living in Britain as a result of Russia's invasion of Ukraine this week:

Oil prices: Petrol heads for £1.50/litre with £1.70 possible if supply is restricted 

Motorists have been warned to expect petrol prices will hit the 'grim milestone' of £1.50 per litre after Russian troops entered eastern Ukraine - with some analysts even forecasting a rise to £1.70 if supplies are restricted.

With the price of oil rising amid the invasion by Russia – which is the world's third-largest oil producer – this looks set to be passed on at the pumps within days in yet another blow to hard-pressed British motorists.

Analysts said crude oil prices could rise to $120 a barrel if supplies are restricted, which could mean petrol prices would rise to more than £1.60 per litre. Experts even said oil could rise to $140 if Russia launches a full-scale war, which the RAC estimates would increase the petrol price to £1.70 a litre. 

Fuel prices at a Shell petrol station near London Bridge yesterday. The RAC has warned the average is on the way to £1.50/litre

Fuel prices at a Shell petrol station near London Bridge yesterday. The RAC has warned the average is on the way to £1.50/litre

Such an increase would send inflation soaring in most Western economies. 

RAC fuel spokesman Simon Williams said: 'Russia's decision to invade Ukraine is already causing oil prices to rise and will undoubtedly send fuel prices inexorably higher towards the grim milestone of £1.50 a litre.

'The price of oil is likely to go above $100 and stay there on the back of traders fearing future disruptions in supply. This spells bad news for drivers in the UK struggling to afford to put fuel in their cars.

'With retailers quick to pass on any wholesale price rises they experience, we could sadly see the average price of unleaded hit £1.50 in the next few days and diesel approaching £1.54.'

In the 24 hours after Mr Putin's decree recognised two breakaway Ukrainian territories, the UK, US and European Union bought a combined 3.5million barrels of Russian oil and other similar refined products worth more than £240million at current prices - and these purchases are likely to continue despite the ongoing political crisis.

Gas prices: Fears Russia could disrupt supplies sends prices soaring by 13% 

Traders fear Russia could disrupt gas supplies to Europe - and, along with Germany's decision to block the Nord Stream 2 pipeline which is seen as a major economic blow to Moscow - this sent gas prices spiralling yesterday.  

In response, Russian government official and former president Dmitry Medvedev last night warned European gas prices could double in future. Yesterday UK gas prices rose by more than 9 per cent and in Europe by 13 per cent – compounding a crippling energy and cost of living crisis that has piled strain on households and businesses.

Wholesale gas prices rocketed last year partly because Russia was sending less to Europe - which some politicians claimed was a political ploy by Vladimir Putin to put pressure on the West to approve Nord Stream 2. It was made worse by low European gas supplies, low wind energy in the UK and a global scramble to buy gas shipments. 

Berlin has come under fire in recent months for pressing ahead with the £8billion gas link as the Russian military amassed troops inside and at its neighbour's borders. But German Chancellor Olaf Scholz U-turned yesterday and said he would now refuse to sign off on the project, owned by Russian state energy giant Gazprom. 

The Sun Arrows tanker loads a cargo of liquefied natural gas from the Sakhalin-2 project in Prigorodnoye, Russia, last October

The Sun Arrows tanker loads a cargo of liquefied natural gas from the Sakhalin-2 project in Prigorodnoye, Russia, last October

Financial experts have pointed out Europe's dependency on Russia for natural gas, as shown in this Associated Press graphic

Financial experts have pointed out Europe's dependency on Russia for natural gas, as shown in this Associated Press graphic

The UK only takes about 3 per cent of its gas supplies from Russia, but wholesale gas prices are determined by the international market – and Europe is heavily reliant on Russia. 

On the subject of supplies, Prime Minister Boris Johnson said yesterday: 'In the UK we have been able to reduce our dependency on Russian gas very substantially. Only 3 per cent of our gas supplies now come from Russia.'

Britain relies on Russia for less than 5 per cent of its gas imports, with three-quarters of them coming from Norway. The Nord Stream 1 pipeline has been operational in the Baltic Sea since 2011, providing 55 billion cubic metres of gas to Berlin every year. Nord Stream 2 would have doubled that capacity.

As other countries try to find other sources to replace Russian gas, the price will be driven up - and some energy-intensive industries have already warned they may be forced to shut down temporarily.

Ofgem shows the breakdown of costs in the energy price cap for a dual fuel customer paying by direct debit with typical use, after the latest rise in the cap this April comes into force (right)

Ofgem shows the breakdown of costs in the energy price cap for a dual fuel customer paying by direct debit with typical use, after the latest rise in the cap this April comes into force (right)

The energy regulator Ofgem warned any rise in gas prices could lead to a further £700 hike in the price cap this October, on top of the near-£700 rise coming into effect within weeks. 

Earlier this month it emerged that the cost of heating homes will rocket by 54 per cent for 22million households from April, adding £693 to the annual bills of a typical UK household - with another potential hike in October. 

Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit analyst Jess Ralston said: 'Given the global nature of gas markets, the UK's dependence on gas for heating and power will leave UK bill payers on the hook for Putin's incursion into Ukraine.

'The Government will increasingly feel the pressure to shield households in the long-term by insulating more homes, speeding the switch over to electric heat pumps and getting on with delivering the net-zero policies that will wean us off volatile gas and protect us from future crises.'

Food prices: Disruption to Black Sea ship movements would bring higher prices

Britons have been facing significant rises in the cost of food at supermarkets for months now as inflation continues to soar, and analysts warned there could be more trouble ahead if a full-blown conflict breaks out.

A war could lead to significant disruption to ship movements around the Black Sea, which would fuel higher food inflation given that Ukraine, Russia, Kazakhstan and Romania all ship grain from ports in the area. 

Susannah Streeter, senior investment analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, said: 'The extra pounds on bills are piling up for families, with the increase in fuel, energy and grocery bills set to hit lower income households harder. 

A shopper picks items off the shelf at a supermarket in London last week, as prices continue to rise at stores in the UK

A shopper picks items off the shelf at a supermarket in London last week, as prices continue to rise at stores in the UK

'With budgets being squeezed further the likely knock on effect of a fresh rise in prices, caused by the escalating situation in Ukraine, would be a blow to consumer confidence after lockdown savings are increasingly worn away.'

Separately today, the National Federation of Fish Friers warned that the average price of fish and chips could soon hit £10, with cod supplies now 75 per cent more expensive than in October.

The industry body told the Daily Mirror that the cost of buying mushy peas has doubled, while shops are also suffering from steep rises in packaging and energy bills. The average cost of a portion is currently £6.50 to £9. 

Shops are also having to consider smaller catches and a general rise in global demand. National Federation of Fish Friers president Andrew Crook charges £7.50 at his shop Skipper's in Euxton, Lancashire.

But he told the newspaper: 'It could soon be over £10 and others are likely to do the same. Rising costs are really putting us under pressure and will push some out of business.'  

A war could lead to significant disruption to ship movements around the Black Sea, which could fuel higher food inflation

A war could lead to significant disruption to ship movements around the Black Sea, which could fuel higher food inflation

Kantar said last month that Tesco is the UK's biggest supermarket, with a 28% market share. Sainsbury's is in second place

Kantar said last month that Tesco is the UK's biggest supermarket, with a 28% market share. Sainsbury's is in second place

Last month it was revealed that the prices of many household food essentials - from beef and bread to milk, eggs and peas - are rising at more than 10 per cent a year, fuelling the cost of living squeeze.

Industry analysts looking at five supermarkets said they typically see around 2,700 increases in early January, but this year it was closer to 4,400. Across all food retailers, almost 10,000 products rose in price over the new year.

Research by price tracking and retail analysts Assosia looking at a basket of common products found an average increase of 6 per cent in the past year. For someone spending £430 a month on groceries, around the UK average, that adds up to an extra £25 a month. The survey picked up an 18 per cent hike on a tin of Heinz baked beans.

It also spotted a 12 per cent rise on beef mince, frozen peas and Jordans cereals. The increase was 11 per cent on supermarket-brand chocolate digestive biscuits, 9 per cent on milk, 8 per cent on eggs and 7 per cent on wholemeal bread. The biggest hike the survey found were 32 per cent on Stork baking spread. 

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2022-02-23 15:34:34Z
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Cost of living: Poorest will suffer most if wages and prices rise to reflect surging inflation, Bank of England governor warns - Sky News

The governor of the Bank of England has warned that large wage and price rises that reflect surging inflation risk embedding rising costs in the economy that will result in "slow activity and increased unemployment".

Andrew Bailey told the Treasury committee of MPs that the so-called second round effects of the energy-led rise in living costs were his "biggest concern" and, if realised, would hurt the least well-off the most and lead to even higher interest rates.

However, his calls for wage restraint were met with fury by unions who accused him of representing fat cat bosses rather than ordinary workers.

The Bank used the publication of its Monetary Policy Report earlier this month to declare that the fastest slump in living standards on record was on the way.

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3 Feb: Governor explains 'very big shock' from inflation

The rate of inflation, already at its highest level for almost 30 years at 5.5%, is tipped by the Bank to hit 7.25% in April when the energy price cap is lifted, with bills expected to rise by an average of almost £700 to account for unprecedented increases in wholesale gas costs.

The Bank, which cannot control external price shocks, has raised the base rate of interest twice in a bid to counter early evidence that wage growth was picking up fast and risked fuelling the inflation problem into 2023 and beyond.

Mr Bailey, who had urged pay restraint earlier this month, clarified that he was not saying people should not get pay rises after Labour's Angela Eagle forced the governor to acknowledge that his own wage was above £570k a year.

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He told the committee he wanted to avoid big wage increases that contributed to further inflationary pressures.

The governor made his remarks after chancellor Rishi Sunak told Sky News it was not his business to dictate what private companies awarded their staff.

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'Wage rises not my business'

'Please reflect on the situation'

Mr Bailey told MPs: "It's not just wage setting, it's also price setting... it's both.

"There is very clearly an upside risk there. The upside risk... comes through from the second-round effects."

He agreed those included corporate margins, basic pay, executive pay and bonus levels and added: "It's a very harsh message."

But he admitted: "I can't dictate how people go about this, of course I can't... Please reflect on the economic situation we're in with this big economic shock coming.

"The least well-off will come off worse in this process if we don't have... restraint," he explained.

Unions, which have urged employers to help workers navigate surging inflation through improved pay, dismissed his economic argument.

Unite's general secretary, Sharon Graham, said: "Andrew Bailey blew a hole in the Bank of England's pretence to be neutral when he targeted workers' pay packets instead of company bosses and inflated profits.

"Andrew Bailey has made it clear whose side he's on. Following the last financial crisis workers experienced the longest stagnation of wages since the Napoleonic wars. Now he wants this to continue against a background of soaring inflation, even while big bosses line their pockets.

"Workers didn't cause galloping inflation or the energy crisis so why should they pay for it?

"Unite will always seek pay deals that reflect the true cost of living because anything else is a wage cut."

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2022-02-23 11:27:52Z
1308395791

Bread and fuel prices could soar in UK after Russian tanks roll into Ukraine... - The Sun

BREAD and fuel prices could now soar after Russian tanks rolled into Ukraine.

Oil prices yesterday climbed to nearly $100 a barrel - the highest level in seven years - thanks to the ongoing chaos in Eastern Europe.

No10 said last night just three per cent of UK gas comes from Russia, but they will 'keep a careful eye' on how sanctions might affect fuel prices
No10 said last night just three per cent of UK gas comes from Russia, but they will 'keep a careful eye' on how sanctions might affect fuel pricesCredit: Les Gallagher

Energy and fuel bills could rocket even further as a result of wholesale prices spiking - with fears yet more suppliers could go bust.

And Germany's decision to slam the brakes on the Nord Stream 2 pipeline is likely to see gas prices in Europe more than double, Russia claimed.

Motoring groups said Vladimir Putin's reckless incursion will see the price of petrol hit a new record high as early as this week.

Meanwhile, farming bosses sounded the alarm of a possible wheat shortage from the region that produces a third of the global supply - risking supply chaos for bread and beer brewing.

National Farming Union chief, Minette Batters said amid fears war could disrupt their experts: "These two countries produce 30 per cent of global wheat exports.

"What will this mean for global food production, what will this mean for Britain?"

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The wholesale price of gas shot 10 per cent overnight to more than double than 'normal'.

Mark Bennett, energy expert at energyhelpline.com cautioned: "If we were to see a sustained spike in gas prices running into the summer, that would inevitably result in the price cap increasing further come October and therefore households paying more."

Experts predicted that Russia could limit the supply of gas to Europe too as part of their war on the West - and the emergency would last into next year and beyond.

🔵 Read our Russia - Ukraine live blog for the very latest updates

Jess Ralston, Analyst at the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit (ECIU) said: “The gas crisis now looks almost certain to last for years, not months.

"The UK’s dependence on gas for heating and power will leave UK bill payers on the hook for Putin’s incursion into Ukraine."

It came as the RAC motoring group predicted drivers would see an all-time-high of £1.50 a litre of petrol this week.

It would mean the average 55-litre car would cost an eye-watering £82.50 to fill up.

Simon Williams of the RAC said: "This spells bad news for drivers in the UK struggling to afford to put fuel in their cars."

And more British manufacturers said they planned to hike their prices due to spiralling costs than at any point since 1976.

A poll from the CBI revealed four in five firms expect costs to go up in the next three months.

No10 said last night just three per cent of UK gas comes from Russia, but they will "keep a careful eye" on how sanctions might affect fuel prices.

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2022-02-23 00:11:00Z
1278748372