Rabu, 23 November 2022

Credit Suisse forecasts $1.6bn loss as wealthy clients withdraw funds - Financial Times

Credit Suisse has forecast a pre-tax loss of up to SFr1.5bn ($1.6bn) in the fourth quarter, with the Swiss bank reporting wealthy clients have withdrawn up to 10 per cent of assets since the start of October.

In its fourth profit warning since January, the bank said the scale of the client outflows — which followed social media rumours about its financial health — had led the bank to dip into liquidity buffers at the group and legal entity level. Credit Suisse said it had “fallen below certain legal entity-level regulatory requirements”.

“Credit Suisse began experiencing deposit and net asset outflows in the first two weeks of October 2022 at levels that substantially exceeded the rates incurred in the third quarter of 2022,” the bank said in a statement.

The wealth management division has suffered outflows equivalent to 10 per cent of assets under management at the end of the third quarter, about SFr63.5bn, it added.

Across the group, the bank bled roughly SFr84bn ($89bn) of assets, as wealth management, asset management and retail banking customers switched their cash holdings, investments and deposits to rivals.

JPMorgan analyst Kian Abouhossein warned “Credit Suisse is not out of the woods yet in terms of stabilising the franchise”.

“Wealth management outflows at 10 per cent of assets under management in the fourth quarter (until 11 November) are very material at a level seen by UBS in the global financial crisis on an annualised basis and not in one quarter.”

The bank’s shares fell 6 per cent in trading on Wednesday to SFr3.62, its lowest price for at least 30 years, having dropped 60 per cent this year.

More than 90 per cent of Credit Suisse shareholders voted in favour of the bank raising SFr4bn from investors, including the Saudi National Bank, to help pay for a radical restructuring of the group at an extraordinary shareholder meeting on Wednesday morning.

“This vote marks an important step in building our new Credit Suisse,” said chair Axel Lehmann.

The Swiss bank said earlier on Wednesday that its wealth management division was likely to post a loss after net interest income took a hit from lower deposits and fees.

It also expects the investment bank to make a significant pre-tax loss after what it described as a “substantial industry-wide slowdown in capital markets”.

“The massive net outflows in wealth management — Credit Suisse’s core business alongside the Swiss bank — are deeply concerning, even more so as they have not yet reversed,” said Vontobel analyst Andreas Venditti.

“The resulting significant assets under management decline will reduce our revenue and long-term profit estimates. Credit Suisse needs to restore trust as fast as possible — but that is easier said than done,” he added.

The bank also confirmed its capital ratio guidance issued last month, targeting a common equity tier one ratio — a reflection of financial resilience — of more than 13.5 per cent by 2025 and of at least 13 per cent from 2023 to 2025.

However, it revealed its liquidity capital ratio — which indicates its ability to withstand short-term stress — had fallen from 192 per cent at the end of September to a daily average of 140 per cent since. Regulators require the bank to stay above 100 per cent.

Last month, the bank announced its restructuring plan, including carving up and spinning off its investment bank, cutting thousands of jobs and raising $4bn in capital, to help it move on from scandals and a SFr4bn third-quarter loss.

It expected to record a SFr75mn loss on the disposal of its stake in Allfunds Group, the bank added.

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2022-11-23 17:02:19Z
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